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Tropical Storm Computer Models

The computer model tracks depicted are generated by the State of Florida. They are derived from products from the US National Hurricane Center, the US National Weather Service, and the United Kingdom Meteorological Office.

Sources of Hurricane Models Plotted:

XTRP – Extrapolation using past 12-hr motion (NHC)
TVCN – Consensus of GFS, UKMET, NOGAPS, GFDL, HWRF, GFDN, and ECMWF models (replaces old CONU model)
NHC – National Hurricane Center official forecast

BAMD – Beta and Advection model, deep (NHC)
BAMM – Beta and Advection model, medium (NHC)
BAMS – Beta and Advection model, shallow (NHC)

GFDL – Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) model
UKM – United Kingdom Meteorological Office (UKMET) model (Developmental)
NGPS – United States Navy Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS) model

AVNONOAA Global Forecast System (GFS) model (formerly known as the AVN/MRF)
AEMNNOAA GFS Ensemble Mean
HWRFNOAA Hurricane Weather and Research Forecast (HWRF) model

CMC – Canadian Meteorological Centre (CMC) model
LGEMNOAA Logistic Growth Equation Model (LGEM)
CLP5 – CLImatology-PERsistance (CLIPER) model 5-day (NHC)

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