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Remnants of Sara Forecaster's Discussion & Computer Models
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Online Info About Remnants Of Sara:
• Remnants Of Sara Tracking Chart • Remnants Of Sara Public Advisory Statement
• Remnants Of Sara Forecaster's Discussion & Computer Models
Remnants Of Sara Forecaster's Discussion #
A graphic showing several computer modeled projected tracks is at the bottom of this page.
Remnants Of Sara Discussion Number  19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL192024
300 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024

Satellite images and surface observations indicate that Sara no 
longer has a well organized circulation, and therefore has 
degenerated into a trough of low pressure. The trough is beginning 
to emerge back over water in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. While 
strong upper-level winds are expected to inhibit tropical 
development, the remnant vorticity and moisture could interact with 
an approaching frontal system and contribute to heavy rainfall along 
the northern Gulf Coast during the next couple of days.

This is the last NHC advisory on Sara. For more information on the
ongoing rainfall threat in southern Mexico/Central America and the
expected heavy rainfall along the U.S. Gulf Coast, see products
issued by the Weather Prediction Center and your local weather
office.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  18/0900Z 19.0N  91.5W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  18/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

The Forecaster's Discussion above often refers to several computer models. The graphic below includes multiple projected paths, showing what the different computer models indicate. The black line is the NHC (National Hurricane Center) path. This graphic is not an official NHC product. For the official NHC projected path of Remnants Of Sara click here.


click image for a larger view

For more information about tropical storm computer models click here.