NOAA Predicts Above-Normal Hurricane Season
Hurricane Season is June 1 through November 30
May 17, 2005

The National Hurricane Center's forecasters are predicting another above-normal hurricane season for 2005. Oriental (and Pamlico County) was pounding by Hurricane Isabel in September 2003 with massive flooding.


Hurricane Isabel hits Oriental in September 2003

While 2004 did not have a hurricane directly visiting our area, it was a nerve racking season. Fifteen named hurricanes visited the east coast, many causing much destruction to Florida. And almost every one of them had a path that caused nervous eyes in Pamlico County to keep track of the storms progress.

This year is predicted to be a similar "above-normal" hurricane season as 2004.

NOAA's prediction for the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season is for "12 to15 tropical storms, with seven to nine becoming hurricanes, of which three to five could become major hurricanes" according to a May 16 NOAA news release. It added "Forecaster confidence that this will be an active hurricane season is very high."

NOAA image of 2005 Atlantic hurricane season outlook.
Hurricane Ivan taken Sept. 15, 2004 before slamming into the US Gulf Coast. Ivan was one of four hurricanes to strike the state of Florida in 2004. (NOAA photo)

NOAA's Atlantic hurricane outlook reflects an expected continuation of above-average activity that began in 1995. Since that time all but two Atlantic hurricane seasons have been above-normal. Hurricane season starts on June 1 and ends November 30.

Although it's too soon to predict where and when a storm may hit land, NOAA still cautions the public to be prepared.

"Last year's hurricane season provided a reminder that planning and preparation for a hurricane do make a difference. Residents in hurricane vulnerable areas who had a plan, and took individual responsibility for acting on those plans, faired far better than those who did not," said Max Mayfield, director of the NOAA National Hurricane Center.

NOAA image of the conditions that will make the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season above average.

NOAA image of the conditions that will make the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season above average.

In contrast to the Atlantic, a below-normal hurricane season is expected in the Eastern and Central Pacific.

Beginning June 1 TownDock.net will again add the Tropical Storm Weather Center to its online weather pages. The Tropical Storm Weather Center will include tracking data and images of active storms, as well as predicted paths from NOAA and other available hurricane tracking models.

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