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Hurricane Humberto Tropical Depression Ten Invest 98

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Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1145 AM EDT Tuesday September 17 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Outlook issued to update discussion on low pressure near the Texas coast.

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Humberto, located more than 500 miles west of Bermuda. The National Hurricane center is also issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Ten, located more than 1000 miles east of the Leeward Islands.

Updated: Recent satellite, radar, and surface data show that the area of low pressure located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico near the Texas coast has become better defined this morning. The associated thunderstorm activity has also increased and become a little better organized. If these development trends continue, a tropical depression could form before the system moves inland later today or tonight, but significant additional development is not likely once the system moves inland.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and flooding remain the primary hazards with this system. This disturbance is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches with isolated maximum totals of 15 inches across the upper coastal region of Texas into far southwest Louisiana through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flash floods. For additional information, see products issued by your local weather forecast office and the Weather Prediction Center.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.

Forecaster: Daniel Brown, National Hurricane Center

For the 5 Day graphical forecast plus detailed analysis see The Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion.

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