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Invest 98

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wednesday July 8 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of low pressure, Invest 98, located about 60 miles east-southeast of Wilmington, North Carolina, continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the adjacent Atlantic waters and portions of eastern North Carolina. The low is expected to move northeastward near or just offshore of the North Carolina Outer Banks on Thursday, and then turn north-northeastward and move along the mid-Atlantic coast on Friday. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone is likely to form within the next day or so. Regardless of development, the system is expected to produce locally heavy rainfall that could cause some flash flooding across portions of eastern North Carolina, the coastal mid-Atlantic, and southern New England during the next few days. Gusty winds are also possible along the North Carolina Outer Banks through Thursday, and along the mid-Atlantic and southern New England coasts Friday and Saturday.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster: Stacy R. Stewart, National Hurricane Center

For the 5 Day graphical forecast plus detailed analysis see The Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion.