It's Saturday October 10, 2026
Dock Quote: “I have taken...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT
Hurricane Isaias Forecaster's Discussion & Computer Models
|
||||||||||||||
Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias Forecaster's Discussion # |
| A graphic showing several computer modeled projected tracks is at the bottom of this page. |
Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias Discussion Number 16 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL092026 1000 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026 Key Messages: 1. Heavy rainfall associated with post-tropical cyclone Isaias will continue across the Southern Appalachians and Southeast today. Considerable flash and urban flooding will be possible. Landslides are also possible across the Southern Appalachians. 2. Strong wind gusts continue to pose a threat across the southeastern United States today, including Georgia, the southern Appalachians, and extending west through much of central and northern Alabama, Mississippi, and Tennessee. Scattered power outages and downed trees and powerlines may occur, with the risk highest in elevated terrain. 3. Swells from Isaias will continue to affect much of the Gulf coasts of the United States, Mexico, and western Cuba this weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. 4. A couple of tornadoes are possible today across eastern Georgia and the Carolinas. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/1500Z 32.8N 86.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 12H 11/0000Z 34.0N 87.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 24H 11/1200Z 36.7N 85.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 36H 12/0000Z 38.3N 81.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 48H 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Chenard |
The Forecaster's Discussion above often refers to several computer models. The graphic below includes multiple projected paths, showing what the different computer models indicate. The black line is the NHC (National Hurricane Center) path. This graphic is not an official NHC product. For the official NHC projected path of Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias click here.
click image for a larger view
For more information about tropical storm computer models click here.
