forecast weather station wind gauge

Upcoming Events

Hole-In-One At Minnesott On A 325 Yard Hole:

20 year old Kyle Dembart Sinks It On Par 4 #18. The Story

Town Board Meeting Report:

From The October 6 Meeting. The Story

October's High Waters:

Photos From An Unusual Flooding. The Story

Preparing For Hurricane Joaquin:

Oriental Prepares For The Threat Of A Hurricane. The Story

Tom Dixon:

1935-2015. The Story

Letters: On Robert Allen Miller's Shooting:

Reax To Portrayal By Friends. Letters To The Editor

Tractor Ancestry Challenged:

Writers Question Tractor Journalism. Letters To The Editor

A Friend Of Robert Miller Writes:

Long Time Friend & Sailor Tells Bob's Story. The Story

Letters: Roadside Herbicide Questioned:

Concern About Pamlico Waters. Letters To The Editor

Letters: Camp Creek Propopsal:

Is It Less Than Initially Promised. Letters To The Editor

2015 Oriental Dragon Boat Race :

6th Annual And 3rd At River Dunes. The Story

No More Hurricane Parking At Oriental Fire Station :

Its High Ground Is Staging Area Says Fire Dept. The Story

2015 Hoop Pole Regatta:

Weather Doesn't Deter Trouper Sailors. The Story

2nd Ol' Front Porch Music Festival Coming:

Call Out For Porches, Musicians, Artisans . The Story

Letters: Paramedic's Presence Missed:

Appreciation of Eric Kindle. Letters To The Editor

Letters: Big Appreciations For Croakerfest :

Thanks To Volunteers. Letters To The Editor

Letters: Thanks From Croakerfest's Garbology Unit:

Recycling More Than Before. Letters To The Editor

Croakerfest 2015 Schedule:

Friday, Saturday & Sunday. The Story

2015 Cardboard Boat Race:

2nd Annual At Paradise Cove Marina. The Story

Update: Bear On Deck Returns:

More Screens Damaged. New Concern: Propane Grillls . The Story

Letters: Another Boat Tax?:

Opposition To Plan To Fund Ocean Inlet Dredging . Letters To The Editor

Another State Boat Tax For More Ocean Inlet Dredging:

Pamlico Boaters To Pay, But Dredging Benefit In Question. The Story

Bear On Porch in Merritt:

Taking In A Bird Feeder Seemed Like A Good Idea. The Story

North Street Corn Belt:

Corn On The Grow. Drawing The Town

Town Wide Yard Sale 2015:

Treasures At A Glimpse. The Story

PAWS Pet Parade 2015:

Tenth Annual Celebration. The Story

2015 Oriental Boat Show:

Boats New and Old. The Story

Paddling The Neuse End to End :

Oriental Bound, Bringing Attention To The Waters. The Story

Anne of Mystic:

130 Year Old On First Trip South . The Shipping News

Birds Tangled In Fish Nets:

Two Rescues In March. The Story

Letters: Collegiate Sailing Events - Thank You:

A Village Made It Happen. Letters To The Editor

First Oriental Sailpack Invitational Regatta :

More College Events Possible This Year & Next. The Story

Prepping For The Regatta:

Spring Break Training in Oriental. The Story

5th Great Oyster Revival:

Fundraiser for Pamlico Community College. The Story

Seals Near Oriental?:

Far Outside Home Waters. The Story

Snow Fall in Oriental:

Change In Precip & The Landscape. The Story

Indoor Dragon Boat Race In Oriental:

First In US. The Story

Chinese New Year 2015 / 4713:

Year Of The Goat. Drawing The Town

Ice Encases Village:

A New Midwinter Look. The Story

18 FJ's Added To Bow To Stern Fleet:

It Takes Village Volunteers. The Story

Holes in one are rare at any distance, but they usually occur on par 3 holes, the shortest distance holes on a golf course. On Saturday at Minnesott, 20 year old Kyle Dembart sunk a hole-in-one on a par 4 325 yard yard shot.

Tuesday October 13, 2015

Clear air. Sunshine. It feels good to breathe it in. A small chance of rain today, then nothing but clear skies for the rest of the week. We need it… a busy weekend ahead.

Water levels are down – under half a foot. They should stay down for a while. It’s nice to see all of Hodges Street. And a HarborCam view without flooding.

Saturday is both the Ol Front Porch Music Festival AND The Rotary Classic car Show. A perfect sunny 70 degree day is forecast.

The Ol Front Porch folks have a lineup of talent that will be playing on porches all over town.

You can still register your car for the show – click here for the form. Craig Baker from Minnesott Beach is in the show with this ’46 Chevy pickup – Baker calls it an “old school” hot rod.

Monday October 12, 2015

1:07p And Happy Columbus Day to you (tardy image to aid in celebration).

Word from Jim Edwards is that tonight’s Open Sailing has been moved to Tuesday night – seeking nicer weather.

11:12a Hodges is semi-flooded today, but Mr. South & West Wind is on the way to help. Southwest and then west winds in the forecast should finally get water levels lower. We shouldn’t have any more high water ferry closings this week.

5:46a Good news from Cherry Branch:

ferry logoWater level has dropped a few more inches during the night and we are able to get to our ramps. We ARE underway, on schedule and on time.

Sunday October 11, 2015

8:29p The ferry is back in action… water levels have dropped at Cherry Branch & Minnesott. In Oriental, they have not dropped - levels about static at 1.7 feet. Hodges Street is only being trafficked by drivers who like to give their vehicles a salt water bath.

5:40a Ferry service remains suspended this morning. From Sue Kinner @ Cherry Branch:

Cherry Branch Ferry is out of service until the water level in the Neuse River drops. ferry logo After attempting our first runs, we have determined the River is too high and the ramp angle is too great to get vehicles onto and off of our boats without scrapping.

Saturday October 10, 2015

6:04p Not again. The Ferry is down. From Cherry Branch:

Unfortunately, with the wind shift to the Northeast this afternoon, the Neuse River has risen again. Our Ferries are no longer able to get to the ramps and we are no longer in service.

Those northeast winds have moved water levels up in Oriental too.

6:57a It is Street Dance time today 4-7p at the History Museum. Lou Ostendorff writes in:

The Street Dance is on. We need a celebration venue after all the bad weather! Tell everyone you know to bring some foul weather gear for the party and enjoy a tasty hotdog with all the trimmings. I want to see a parking lot full of umbrellas…

The forecast isn’t perfect, but the Street Dance has a tent (along with your umbrella).

Rain likely today, on & off. It’s not all bad – streets (and yards) that were flooded earlier in the week do need a cleaning off.

Water levels now under a foot – it was 0.75 ft at 6:25a. North winds forecast for the weekend could see that number creep back up a little, but south and west winds early next week will move waters lower again.

Friday October 9, 2015

3:52p FYI, Storm Joaquin finally ran out of gas late last night. That Joaquin could travel. The storm was more than half way across the Atlantic heading east towards. Glad we didn’t get to meet Joaquin.

10:32a The Old Theater’s big Chili Cookoff is coming in two weeks. If you were thinking about competing, you’ll wanna let Old Theater folks know pretty soon. Nelda says that they could also use volunteers to help out on the 24th. Ditto, people to donate baked goods to the Bake Sale that day.

7:10p Last night at about 8p the wind shifted – to a south wind (from the south). Which is just what is needed to push more water out. Water levels have been trending down this morning – now 1.29 ft.

6:38a From Sue Kinner at the Cherry Branch Ferry terminal:

It’s been a rough couple of weeks, but we are back! The water in the Neuse has continued to drop during the night and the Cherry Branch Ferries are fully operational. We are on schedule and on time.

Thursday October 8, 2015

5:08p Nel’s on Broad Street is back open – the owners home was a victim of the recent flooding and had to take a few days off from the business.

1:26p Water levels creeping up a bit in recent hours – now 1.67 feet – it was 1.5 earlier.

We still have south winds coming Friday – which should push out remaining water.

8:50a Water Street Grill starts new hours this week:
• Thursday & Friday 11a – 9p
• Saturday & Sunday 9a – 9p
The changes are Water Street is now closed on Wednesdays, and now open on Sunday nights for dinner.

7:16a The Neuse River Ferry runs again. This just in from the Ferry Folks:


In Minnesott-Cherry Branch Ferry lingo, this means the water levels are down enough so that the ferry boats aren’t riding higher than the ramp at Cherry Branch. That high water problem is what stopped the ferry route Saturday.

Their first boat set out at 7:15, but you may make the next one. They’re on the regular sked from here on.

6:14a Water level keeps dropping. In the past hour it logged in at 1.59 feet.

You still have to do the Neuse River Drive Around. At the Cherry Branch Ferry Terminal this morn, the water’s still making the ferry too high – by 4 inches – to safely connect the ferry to the ramp. (Yesterday the boat was riding more than a foot higher. Let’s call this progress….)

Something else folks have been keeping an eye on has been Town-n-Country. The only grocery store in Oriental took a hit in May 2014 when Walmart opened one of its Express stores just outside the Oriental town limits. There were customers who stayed, but not enough.

Last night, manager Renee Smith hung up a banner on the front window announcing the store would be closing. It will likely be shut down by the end of the month. The store – which has a butcher and fresh produce section – has been operating in Oriental for 42 years.

Renee says the store will be open 9a-6p. Until it’s not.

In other news… Nothing brings out mosquitoes — and their lust to breed and suck your blood — like all that soggy ground and standing water we still have. The Town is spraying to kill ‘em off. This from Town Hall.

We’ll be spraying daily, at dusk and dawn, as long as the wind stays below 5MPH and the rains stay away. Please adjust your walking schedule accordingly.

Wednesday October 7, 2015

7:33p Town-n-Country grocery store is closing. A banner announcing that went up about an hour ago.

6:18p Cherry Branch checks in – from Sue Kinner, Ferry Operation Manager II:
The water has dropped, but is still about a foot above the roadway. This photo was taken at 5:45 pm. We will not be able to run tonight. We will evaluate our status tomorrow after the sun rises and we can survey the river.

4:49 Holy dry socks, Batman. The first level reading under 2 feet.

4:34p Meanwhile, at the Cherry Branch ferry terminal water levels still have the ferry decks higher than the adjoining road:

We’d just go for the Evel Knievel running start, but DOT officials are so stodgy.

4:26p No Cherry Branch/Minnesott yet, but Pamlico Sound ferry routes are back in service:

NCDOT’s Ferry Division today announced it is resuming service on its Cedar Island-Ocracoke and Swan Quarter-Ocracoke routes, with a limited schedule today followed by the resumption of full scheduled service on Thursday, October 8. Hyde County’s restrictions on visitor access to Ocracoke will also be lifted on Thursday at 7am. Tolling and reservations will also resume.

2:47p Sometimes life isn’t fair. Levels are coming down at the official Oriental Level Gauge at the Lou Mac Park Pier. They are coming down at the Duck Pond. But Doug Sligh reports levels have gone up a couple inches since this morning at his dock on Whittaker Creek.

Maybe the glass half full thing doesn’t work here.

2:17p Levels coming down… slowwwllyyyyy. But they are coming down. 2.1 ft latest measurement.

While they are coming down in Oriental, not so much at the Cherry Branch ferry terminal. Still too high to operate.

Winds getting lighter tonight & Thursday. South winds Friday – and all that high water will finally go away.

9:54a The Bayview-Aurora ferry is back operating this morning:
ferry status

9:50a It may be slow to recede, but water levels continue to go down. Now 2.25 feet at the Oriental gauge.

8:01a Caffeine? Eric Kindle reports hot java by the harbor:

OPEN There is still water in the street, but we are finally open! Boots or rolling up your pants a little still recommended…

ferry logo7:37a At Cherry Branch they report levels actually went up a few inches this morning. The ferry is not running, and based on the report it seems unlikely it will today. DOT staff at Cherry Branch are frustrated… they want to run the ferry.

6:14a Today’s forecast of north winds 10-15 on both the Pamlco Sound and Neuse River will let waters further subside, but we’ll still have levels “above normal” at the end of the day. It is moving in the right direction though – latest reading 2.39 feet. It dropped consistently overnight.

town hall signThe Town Board met last night. Camp Creek, the Town Dock getting damaged by the Coast Guard and even yoga were topics of discussion.

Come the weekend, you should be able to kick off those Pamlico Nikes and slip on your dancin’ shoes .. and for good cause. The Oriental History Museum holds its Street Dance on Saturday. Silent auction, too Saturday’s also when you can offload – in an ecologically responsible manner, there, Bunkster – your household hazardous waste.

Looking ahead one more week… the Ol’ Front Porch Music Festival, Year Two, happens on Saturday October 17. Hours and hours of music on front porches-turned-stages in Oriental. Year One had been pretty magical and now Dottie Osmun and Leslie Kellenberger and team have pulled together more musicians and more porches. (28 and 19) Plus a concert down by the river later in the afternoon with The Carmonas and Laurelyn Dossett. In all, more than 2 dozen musicians – from Oriental and the wider region. Who’s playing? It’s here.

5:48a Water levels moved consistently down overnight, now under 2 1/2 feet.

The day we have waited for is on tap – sunny today, dry, high upper 70s. May the evaporation begin.

Tuesday October 6, 2015

7:48p Levels down a bit more. 3 ft even.

6:01p And water levels again going down. Might be something the high water tidal theory (see below). Salute to Jim Edwards correlating the water levels at his home/biz to area tides.

Look outside – you’ll spot a friend you haven’t seen in a while. Some blue skies.

4:02p Levels keep sneaking back up. Is it wind? It’s true, the north wind is there. But there may be something else as well. Oriental normally does not experience a noticeable lunar tide. But Beaufort, just over 20 miles away, gets a 3 to 4 ft tide. Could it be with unusually high water levels, we get a small but apparent tide here?

We saw water levels go down this morning. Low tide in Beaufort was 10am. Levels have been going up this afternoon. High tide in Beaufort today? Right now. High tide at Core Creek Bridge today (in between Oriental & Beaufort on Adams Creek)? 5pm.

Links To Ponder:
Oriental Water Level Gauge
Beaufort Water Level Gauge [overlaid with tide predictions]
Beaufort Tide Predictions
Core Creek Bridge Tide Predictions [this is on Adams Creek on the way to Beaufort]

3:08p Oh, how fickle, this water. Residents in the White Farm Road environs again dealing with ponding water on that one road in. Jim Barton writes:

What a difference a few hours makes. White Farm Road again near Falcon covered by runoff. As you are headed toward Town, stay right. The water is more shallow. Passable but take it easy. Wind shift to the NE is the culprit.

11:57a Water levels actually back up an inch. It is going to take a while (perhaps days) for this to clear.

But before you get weepy – it is forecast to be sunny & 75 Wednesday. With lighter north winds. Thursday much lighter winds (just 5 mph), which will let the water leave. Friday south winds to clear what’s left away.

11:40a Pamlico County Offices in Bayboro (see below) have reported Florence area roads passable. “Passable” may be subjective – Jennifer Smart sent this photo in (taken just 15 minutes ago):
florence flooded

10:38a From Pamlico County Offices in Bayboro:

Flood waters have receded in the Florence and Whortonsville areas but some localized flooding remains but most roads are clear to passable. Crews are currently checking areas but residents are encouraged to use caution while attempting to travel.

Goose Creek Island and the Hobucken and Lowland areas continue to have tidal flooding making travel difficult.
The emergency shelter at the community college is officially closed and the EOC will be shutting down in the next hour.

10:05a Robert Banks writes in from Pamlico:

Well, this is an interesting development. Two National Guard trucks cruised down Orchard Creek Road about 9:30 this morning, but one of them neglected to account for the drainage ditch. The second truck was able to tow the other from its mishap, but this should be a cautionary tale regarding any attempt to traverse flooded streets with a standard vehicle.
national guard truck stuck

national guard trucks

9:07a Almost another inch lower. We’ll take it.

8:14a Water levels static the last hour – last measurement 3.25 feet. That is over a foot lower from yesterday’s highs. Jim Barton reports White Farm Rd now OK:

Update on the White Farm area. Road completely passable from Dolphin Rd to Straight Road. No standing water except a small amount near Falcon on the outbound lane from Dolphin Point. Water along Pierce Creek in Dolphin Point has receded considerably.

8:11a It just isn’t our local ferry that is down from the weather:
ferry status

6:48a Down 3 inches in just the last hour. 3 1/4 feet now.

ferry logo6:42a Both Cherry Branch/Minnesott Beach and Bayview/Aurora ferry routes still not operating this morning due to high water levels.

6:21a It is Benjamin Franklin who is credited with the quote:

Guests, like fish, begin to smell after three days

Let’s complain about the weather
And that is the thing about Storm Septoct. Sure, it beats getting a hurricane, but at least a hurricane has the common courtesy to leave.

This endless storm/front/low/sky-beast Septoct has rained (and rained a lot) for a couple weeks. North winds for that long too.

So here we are. Water levels have lowered a few inches overnight (down almost a foot from yesterday afternoon’s brief peek). Now about 3.5 feet.

The Pamlico Sound marine forecast has north winds 20-25 mph today and tonight. That’s lower than yesterday, but likely will mean water levels going down slowwwlyyy today. That said, winds are calm in Oriental at this writing – which could/should mean lowering levels. Winds are forecast lower mid week, water levels will go lower too.

But there is really good news – the forecast for Friday is southwest winds 10-15. Then Saturday west winds. That would make any remaining high waters finally go away.

Monday October 5, 2015

11:02p The Sheriff’s Office reports that the NC National Guard was called in earlier today to help get emergency medical care to someone with breathing difficulties in the Fork Point Road area. The roads were otherwise impassable, but the Guard got in and then brought the patient out to a waiting EMS ambulance. in nearby Whortonsville, a woman’s home flooded. The Sheriff’s office says it safely brought her to the evacuation shelter at Pamlico Community College.

9:48p Water levels moved down nicely in the last hour, now 3.77.

6:47p The official weather gauge (at the Lou Mac Park Pier) shows levels static – down a fraction of an inch. The unofficial TownDock basement gauge (downtown by the Duck Pond) is down an inch.

The NOAA Coastal Flood Warning has been extended until 5am Tuesday.

6:10p Repeating two key messages from Pamlico County:

1. Pamlico County Schools are closed for Tuesday, October 6, 2015.

2. Pamlico County has declared a State Of Emergency due to high water levels. Pamlico County Emergency Management will be opening the hurricane shelter located at Pamlico Community College on NC 306 for all individuals wishing to evacuate their homes due to storm flooding. The shelter will open at 6pm today.

5:49p Water levels static, down to the hundredth of an inch. 4.39 feet.

The storm has been with us since last month – so it has been named Storm Septoct. Septoct has a certain (deserved) evil air about it. More photos are being added to the Septoct October Flood Collection. Your photo can be a part of the collection. Email news@towndock.net.

5:04p OK Bunky, just imagine. You’re down below in your manly Nav Station. Your personalized coffee cup near your ready sextant.

With salty reverence, you stoically listen to NOAA Weather Radio:

Your actual nav station. We won’t tell:

4:52p It has snuck up almost another inch. 4.39 feet. We’ll call it 4 foot 4.

4:21p Mr. Radar shows that the giant blotch of moisture is north of us and moving away.

4:10p TownDock Senior Management went for a canoe ride, as standard motor vehicular transit is non-operational in the downtown Duck Pond district. As you’ve seen, water levels up a couple more inches. Will it go up higher? It could, a bit. But we still feel we are near peak levels. Since midnight, it has been up and down in a range of only about half a foot.

More photos are being added to the October Flood Photo Festarama. Got a high water photo just bursting with wet potential? Email news@towndock.net.

4:08p School’s Out. From the county:

Pamlico County Schools are closed for Tuesday, October 6, 2015.

1:55p Water levels static – 4.11 ft. It really does feel like this is at or very near peak levels. It could have been worse – wind levels have been lower than forecast, and today’s rainfall modest (now 1.1 inches).

It was windy overnight locally though. The TownDock.net Oriental Weather Station registered 36 mph at 4:30a.

1:40p The TownDock photo dept has started putting together photos from the storm. This artcile will be growing through the afternoon as more photos are added.

12:50p Water levels staying about the same on the official gauge – 4.1 ft.

Pamlico County has declared a State Of Emergency due to high water levels. The Emergency Shelter @ PCC was open from 7p last night until 9a this morning. The county says it will be open again tonight:

Pamlico County Emergency Management will be opening the hurricane shelter located at Pamlico Community College on NC 306 for all individuals wishing to evacuate their homes due to storm flooding. The shelter will open at 6pm today.

12:33p Wally Umbach says it’s too wet to sing. The Pamlico Chorale rehearsal for tonight is cancelled.

12:21p Pamlico County says no courthouse today:

The Pamlico County Courthouse is closing today October 5, 2015 due to inclement weather and flooding in the surrounding areas.

12:16p Water levels have been going up and down in about a 3-4 inch range since midnight. The “unofficial” TownDock basement gauge down a couple inches in the last half hour. This narrow range up & down may indicate a near peak. Pamlico Sound winds remain high & from the northeast, but the forecast update is slightly more favorable – 25-30 winds instead of 25-35. Less NE wind helps. We have a Coastal Flood warning until 8p tonight. Tuesday winds will be a bit lighter on the Sound.

11:47a Water levels definitely up in the last hour. We’ve seen a few inches more by eye here in “downtown” Oriental. The official gauge agrees – now 4.14. Since midnight, 8/10” of rain.

11:42a In days of old hardy Postmen had this creed:
Neither snow nor rain nor heat nor gloom of night stays these couriers from the swift completion of their appointed rounds.

We have a 2015 storm equivalent. Jennifer Smart, hard working Physical Therapist at The Village Club, would not let closed roads on the route to work (Florence to Oriental) stand in the way. Here she is this morning carrying a bicycle through knee deep water:

(Tim Balfour photo)

11:33a It’s too wet for Gov’t Work. From Pamlico County:

The Pamlico County Board of Commissioners Meeting for October 5, 2015 has been cancelled due to inclement weather.

11:01a Report from Michelle Noevere (“Housebound in the Village of Florence”):

Florence/Whortonsville residents are stuck. Whortonsville road at Day’s Corner is flooded as far as the eye can see and water across Florence Road is up to the door of a Jeep Commander about 4-5 miles down from 55.

10:59a Deb Khouri reports from Dolphin Point:

The flooded area on White Farm Road just before the Falcon Drive turn is not rainwater. It is floodwater from Pierce Creek and Whittaker Creek. At this time we are an island. Vehicles attempting to go though will be in brackish water.

10:56a Kershaw Road is closed about 1/4 mile west of Teaches Cove Rd. The sign leaves no doubt:

(Gary Hughes photo)

10:51a And levels edge back down… now 3.98 feet.

9:49a Water levels back on the rise. Now 4.06 feet.

9:20a Reports say Highway 55 is clear this morning from Oriental to Bayboro. 55 can flood near Paul’s Produce & Pickers, but that seems to come more from heavy rain than rising water. Of course heavy rain is on tap for later today…

You can watch the rain coming our way on weather radar.

8:48a Water levels now at 4.03 feet. High north winds (25-35 mph) on the Pamlico Sound today could move that number higher.

The part of this that is challenging to predict about Storm Septoct is what happens tonight & tomorrow. Winds will be lower, but still 20-25 mph north winds are forecast for tonight through Tuesday night. Will those winds simply hold water levels static, or will levels slowly come down?

8:41a Dave Mauney reports that Kershaw Rd is closed about a 1/4 mile west of Teaches Cove Rd.

7:47a Water levels peaked overnight at 4.08 feet. They have gone down just a bit this morning, now at 3.98 feet.

7:35a Since this storm/system/front/low doesn’t have a name – lets give it one. It started last month – now a two month storm – introducing Storm Septoct.

That big wall of moisture that soaked South Carolina is slowly drifting north. Today will be wet.

NOAA Coastal Flood Warning today until 8p. It will be flooded here long after that. Chance of rain today 100% – later it is forecast to be coming down hard.

6:10a White Farm Road may not be a driving option. Sandy Johnson-Clark writes in (this sent just after midnight):

Wanted to let you know White Farm Road is impassable. I drove through it tonight coming home from the village, stupid me. It was at least 10-12 inches or more of the river flowing. Couldn’t even see the road, lines on it, nothing.
It is probably a few inches higher now. The next person might not make it through. See example below.

5:45a From the “Is My Car Just Like A Boat?” Dept. This just in from The Pamlico County Sheriff’s Office:
The Pamlico County Sheriff’s Office and Pamlico County Emergency Management responded to a report of a vehicle in a canal on Bay City Road near the bridge. One individual was rescued from the water after escaping from the sinking car. The driver was not injured. The driver hit an area of tidal flooding and lost control of the vehicle and came to rest in an adjacent canal. sunk car (Sherrif’s Office photo)

Sunday October 4, 2015

6:24p Pamlico County has declared a State Of Emergency due to high water levels. From the Sheriff’s Office:

Pamlico County Emergency Management will be opening the hurricane shelter located at Pamlico Community College on NC 306 for all individuals wishing to evacuate their homes due to storm flooding. The shelter will open at 7pm today and remain open until residents can return to their homes.

Also Kershaw Loop road off of Kershaw road has been closed due to a sink hole. Goose Creek Loop road in Arapahoe has also been closed at Neuse Road due to a wash out. Other areas of Pamlico County, specifically the Hobucken and Lowland areas, are experiencing road closures due to tidal overwash of 6 to 15 inches of water. Other low lying areas can expect the same through tomorrow.

6:10p No hurricane, but this is a wild ride. Water levels are up some 10 inches since early this morning. Will it go another foot? Here is what we know: The Pamlico Sound is forecast to have 25-25 knot gale force winds tonight & Monday. That will push more water our way. It is going to go up.

This won’t be going away soon. Strong north winds, not gale force, but still 25mph are forecast through Tuesday night on Pamlico Sound.

To make you feel better about our windy & wet plight, right now Bermuda is getting Hurricane Joaquin.

And now for the sunny part of your future. Yes, actually sunny. Wednesday is forecast for sunshine, dry and 75.

2:32p The Oriental Water Level Gauge keeps us in the know – providing online data of current water levels.

Where is the gauge? It measures the Neuse from the pier at Lou Mac Park. The gauge was installed by the state in 2013 – this story tells more.

2:18p For wall to wall weather info, TownDock.net streams NOAA Weather Radio (the same signal you hear locally on a Marine VHF):

2:03p Levels keep rising, now at 3 1/4 ft about normal – we are up about 6” from earlier this morning. Hodges is totally impassable. Rather than a salt water bath, one would be launching their Lexus.

Great photo op – so call before you attempt it, Bunky.

How much higher is the question. With 25-35 knot winds on the Pamlico Sound tonight & Monday, the water will continue to rise. Some readers have written in with a version of the following:
If my house flooded in Hurricane Isabel & Irene, will it flood now?

Here is some info. This isn’t a hurricane. It is a front that is causing a lot of wind from the north, which causes rising waters in our area. A heavy dose of rain on top. Hurricane Isabel had a 9 ft surge. Irene even higher, 9 1/2 feet. We are at 3 1/4 feet right now. A 6 ft difference. We are not going to get 6 more feet of surge tomorrow, or anything close to that. We are going to get more water though.

NOAA has extensive surge modeling for hurricanes, but not so much info for this situation. What we do know:

  • More than now
  • Not anything near hurricane levels

Keep an eye on the Oriental Water Level Gauge

7:51a Water levels high this morning in Oriental – at 2.70 above normal now. It is going to get worse before it gets better. There is a Coastal Flood Warning In Effect Until Monday @ 8p. Water levels may rise some today due to northeast winds, but Monday will be the trouble day. The Pamlico Sound forecast has a Gale Warning, 20 knot northeast winds today. But tonight and Monday, look out for 25-35 knot winds. That is going to push more water down our way, and it will have no where to go but up.

How high? This isn’t a hurricane like situation, but planning for the possibility of at least another foot may be wise. Monday will have the return of monsoon rain. The water levels are mostly a wind driven event, but pouring rain on top doesn’t help.

Highway 55 is clear this morning (there were reports yesterday of a few high water areas – they were apparently caused just by rain).

Later today Bermuda will get visited by Hurricane Joaquin. Joaquin has weakened some, now 115 mph winds.

No Minnesott Beach / Cherry Branch Ferry again today – high water is the reason. Based on the current wind forecast, the ferry may be out of service at least through mid week.

7:36a You think we’re wet – check out what is dumping on South Carolina: southeast weather radar

Saturday October 3, 2015

3:41p We are fortunate that Joaquin is not headed our way. The storm is now Category 4 – 155 mph. It is forecast to pass closely by Bermuda. It will weaken somewhat before getting there Sunday night, but Joaquin is predicted to still have 130 mph peak winds. Yikes.

ferry logo1:52p Our weather’s dealing us another challenge — the Neuse River ferry’s not running. You now have to go the long way around to travel to and from Beaufort and Havelock.

The high water is keeping the ferries from tucking under the ramp. For how long? Mike Austin at the Cherry Branch side answered in terms of wind direction. We’ll have to wait til the wind clocks around, he says and comes out of the west to push all that water back in to the Sound. Austin says “it could be days,” before the Minnesott-Cherry Branch ferrries run again.

7:42a Water levels are high (just over 2 feet) this morning. Hodges Street flooded – water high enough that it is over the sidewalk by the harbor. The Bean is open though – salute to barista Amron. High boots help if you make a Bean visit. Reports of high water everywhere – water is over Highway 55 out by Paul’s Produce.

The marine forecast shows 15-20 east winds today, then 15-20 northeast tonight & Sunday. With those winds, levels won’t be going down, and may trend up a bit.

hurricane joaquinHurricane Juaquin is finally leaving the battered Bahamas, now heading north. 125 mph winds. The forecast track – even farther offshore. Bermuda is bracing for a visit.

Town is relatively calm this morning. It wasn’t two days ago as folks were preparing for a storm.

Rainfall totals: 6.79 inches yesterday. Rain This Month (it is only Oct 3): 7.17 inches.

Enjoy some blue skies today. The sound of it not raining is sweet.